The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | July 12, 2015 |
| Venue: | MGM Grand Garden Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Straight Bet
Stephen Thompson (-180)
Jake Ellenberger vs. Stephen Thompson
Breakdown
Jake Ellenberger vs Stephen Thompson
The wrestling of Thompson has always been improving and he has always had great footwork and distance control. Ellenberger seems to not be the fighter he once was and I don't see him landing any take downs and definitely won't be able to strike with Thompson. Thompson by TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Jake Ellenberger | vs. | Stephen Thompson |
| +190 | Odds | -200 |
| 34.5% | Market % | 66.7% |
| 35.00% | Bet on Combat % | 65.00% |
| +0.5% | Inefficiency % | -1.7% |
| Stephen Thompson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -180 |
| Risk: | $15300.00 |
| To Win: | $8500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Stephen Thomson defeats Ellenberger via KO (spinning hook kick and punches) at 4:29 of round 1.
Win
Straight Bet
Michelle Waterson (-500)
Michelle Waterson vs. Angela Magana
Breakdown
Michelle Waterson vs Angela Magana
Magana is a average fighter who is not on Waterson level. Waterson is the way better striker and grappler and athlete. Waterson wins via submission.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Michelle Waterson | vs. | Angela Magana |
| -500 | Odds | +600 |
| 83.3% | Market % | 14.3% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| -8.3% | Inefficiency % | +10.7% |
| Michelle Waterson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -500 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $1000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Michelle Waterson defeats Angela Magana via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:38 of round 3.