UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Feb. 4, 2012 |
| Venue: | Mandalay Bay Events Center |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Straight Bet
Carlos Condit (+155)
Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit
Breakdown
Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit
Carlos is an aggresive, slightly stronger Muay Thai fighter who is slick on the ground as well with bjj. I think Condit controls the rhythm in this fight especially on the feet where I he out points Diaz to win a decision that will be close.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Nick Diaz | vs. | Carlos Condit |
| -195 | Odds | +155 |
| 66.1% | Market % | 39.2% |
| 68.00% | Bet on Combat % | 32.00% |
| +1.9% | Inefficiency % | -7.2% |
| Carlos Condit - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +155 |
| Risk: | $6000.00 |
| To Win: | $9300.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Carlos Condit defeats Nick Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46).
Win
Straight Bet
Renan Barao (-240)
Renan Barao vs. Scott Jorgensen
Breakdown
Renan Barao vs. Scott Jorgensen
As good as Jorgensen is I don't think his striking defense can ward off Barao for 3 full rounds, I see shots or a shot slipping through and when it does Barao finishes it and wins by TKO.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Renan Barao | vs. | Scott Jorgensen |
| -240 | Odds | +190 |
| 70.6% | Market % | 34.5% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +4.4% | Inefficiency % | -9.5% |
| Renan Barao - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -240 |
| Risk: | $7200.00 |
| To Win: | $3000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Renan Barao defeats Scott Jorgensen via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27).