UFC 143: Diaz vs. Condit

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Feb. 4, 2012
Venue: Mandalay Bay Events Center
City: Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: Pay-Per-View
Straight Bet

Carlos Condit (+155)

Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit

Breakdown

Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit

Carlos is an aggresive, slightly stronger Muay Thai fighter who is slick on the ground as well with bjj. I think Condit controls the rhythm in this fight especially on the feet where I he out points Diaz to win a decision that will be close.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Nick Diaz vs. Carlos Condit
-195 Odds +155
66.1% Market % 39.2%
68.00% Bet on Combat % 32.00%
+1.9% Inefficiency % -7.2%
Carlos Condit - Straight Bet
Odds:+155
Risk:$6000.00
To Win:$9300.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Carlos Condit defeats Nick Diaz via Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46).

 

Win

Straight Bet

Renan Barao (-240)

Renan Barao vs. Scott Jorgensen

Breakdown

Renan Barao vs. Scott Jorgensen

As good as Jorgensen is I don't think his striking defense can ward off Barao for 3 full rounds, I see shots or a shot slipping through and when it does Barao finishes it and wins by TKO.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Renan Barao vs. Scott Jorgensen
-240 Odds +190
70.6% Market % 34.5%
75.00% Bet on Combat % 25.00%
+4.4% Inefficiency % -9.5%
Renan Barao - Straight Bet
Odds:-240
Risk:$7200.00
To Win:$3000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Renan Barao defeats Scott Jorgensen via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27).

 

Win

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