UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: May 23, 2015
Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Broadcast:
Parlay Bet

Chris Weidman (-470) Travis Browne (-410) - (-197)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Travis Browne (UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier)
Chris Weidman vs. Vitor Belfort (UFC 187: Johnson vs. Cormier)

Breakdown

Chris Weidman vs Vitor Belfort

The only way Vitor can win is to land a bomb early on Weidman because the longer the fight goes Vitor won't maintain his power. Vitor is off TRT and isn't the same fighter. Vitor struggles with wrestlers and I see Weidman getting him down easy and pounding him out to winby TKO.

 

Andrei Arlovski vs Travis Browne

Browne has devastating striking and is the younger fighter vs old man Arlovski who is past his prime. Browne has a great finish rate and is the more athletic striker so I think he finishes Arlovski and wins by TKO.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Chris Weidman (-470) Travis Browne (-410) - Parlay Bet
Odds:-197
Risk:$5000.00
To Win:$2538.07
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Chris Weidman defeats Vitor Belfort TKO (punches) at 2:53 of round 1.

Andrei Arlovski defeats Travis Browne via TKO (punches) at 4:41 of round 1.

Loss

Straight Bet

Daniel Cormier (+110)

Anthony Johnson vs. Daniel Cormier

Breakdown

Daniel Cormier vs Anthony Johnson

I don't think Johnson will be able to stop the take downs of Cormier who is a elite wrestler. Cormier knows he just can't stand and bang with Johnson who packs a lot of power. Cormier has a great chin but I see him using his great wrestling to smother Johnson and win via TKO. 

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Anthony Johnson vs. Daniel Cormier
-120 Odds +110
54.5% Market % 47.6%
40.00% Bet on Combat % 60.00%
-14.5% Inefficiency % +12.4%
Daniel Cormier - Straight Bet
Odds:+110
Risk:$1000.00
To Win:$1100.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Daniel Cormier defeats Anthony Johnson via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:39 of round 3.

 

Win

Straight Bet

Chris Weidman (-475)

Chris Weidman vs. Vitor Belfort

Breakdown

Chris Weidman vs Vitor Belfort

The only way Vitor can win is to land a bomb early on Weidman because the longer the fight goes Vitor won't maintain his power. Vitor is off TRT and isn't the same fighter. Vitor struggles with wrestlers and I see Weidman getting him down easy and pounding him out to winby TKO.

Stake: 10%

Prediction

Chris Weidman vs. Vitor Belfort
-475 Odds +390
82.6% Market % 20.4%
80.00% Bet on Combat % 20.00%
-2.6% Inefficiency % -0.4%
Chris Weidman - Straight Bet
Odds:-475
Risk:$57500.00
To Win:$12105.26
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Chris Weidman defeats Vitor Belfort TKO (punches) at 2:53 of round 1.

Win

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