UFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Nov. 14, 2015 |
| Venue: | Etihad Stadium |
| City: | Melbourne, Victoria, Australia |
| Broadcast: |
Jake Matthews (-565) Gian Villante (-307) Fight won't start round 3 (-270) - (+115)
Breakdown
Ronda Rousey vs Holly Holm
I do think Holm can win this fight cause Rousey hasnever faced a pro boxer and Holm will probably be able to fight off the take downs and just tag Rousey on the feet. Fight starts round 2 is a good bet because of this scenario because of Holm keeping the fight standing, we can't see it finishing in the first. The fight is close and Holm has a path to win with the striking. Holm wins TKO 3rd round.
Jake Matthews vs Akbarh Arreola
Matthews is too athletic and this the right keys in this matchup. The explosion and power of Matthews will be too much and I see him winning here quite easily.
Anthony Perosh vs Gian Villante
Perosh is just so old and has to be close to retirement. Perosh is just so old and fragile so I don't see him being able to take the power shots of Villante. Villante TKO round 1.
Prediction
| Jake Matthews (-565) Gian Villante (-307) Fight won't start round 3 (-270) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | +115 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $2875.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Holly Holm defeats Ronda Rousey via KO (head kick and punches) at 0:59 of round 2.
Jake Matthews defeats Akbarh Arreolo via TKO (doctor stoppage) at 5:00 of round 2.
Gian Villante defeats Anthony Perosh via KO (punch) at 2:56 of round 1.
Win
Ronda Rousey/Holly Holm Fight starts round 2 (+140)
Prediction
| Ronda Rousey/Holly Holm Fight starts round 2 - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +140 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $3500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Holly Holm defeat Ronda Rousey via KO (head kick and punches) - Round 2, 0:59
Win
Holly Holm (+1000)
Breakdown
Ronda Rousey vs. Holly Holm
I believe the former professional boxer’s striking skills would be too much for Ronda Rousey. I never been impress by Rousey’s striking arsenal. I also think Rousey still undefeated simply because of the lack of quality in the women's bantamweight division. I expect Holm getting the better of the striking exchanges and that should be enough for Holm to get the win.
Those of you who only tuned in to mixed martial arts are probably unfamiliar with Holly Holm's fighting career. I strongly advice you to visit the "Awards" section of her website to learn how many championships and other honors that Holm earned as a boxer. Among them are Junior Welterweight, Welterweight and World Light Welterweight Championship runs. Holm was also inducted into The New Mexico Boxing Hall of Fame back in 2013. Holm is nevertheless 10-0 as a professional MMA competitor.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Ronda Rousey | vs. | Holly Holm |
| -1250 | Odds | +1000 |
| 92.6% | Market % | 9.1% |
| 42.00% | Bet on Combat % | 58.00% |
| -50.6% | Inefficiency % | +48.9% |
| Holly Holm - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +1000 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $50000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Holly Holm defeats Ronda Rousey via KO (head kick and punches) at 0:59 of round 2.
We just cashed one of the biggest upset in combat sports history, if not the biggest. Every single analyst and media outlet counted her out. It wasn’t a matter of who would win, but rather how and when Ronda would put Holm away. There was no lucky punch. This was a perfectly implemented game plan that exposed an opponent’s weaknesses. It was clear from the get-go to realize Rousey was in over her head and had no Plan B. From the first exchange, Rousey was at a vast skill disadvantage on the feet and could not even come close to landing any real striking offense of her own. Over the first two rounds, aside from a few clinch attempts, she was repeatedly tagged with clean, hard shots as her punches came up short. As round two was about to began, it seemed like only a matter of time before she was finished.
To be honest I wasn’t so surprised at Rousey’s inability to overcome Holm’s control of the cage. I knew Holly could dominate Rousey with her striking. But I wasn't so sure how Holm would do against the fence. With such a one-sided fight, however, there’s bound to be speculation of whether or not Rousey and her camp underestimated Holm. Obviously, they did a little bit as her head coach and cornerman Edmond Tarverdyan told Ronda that she was “doing perfect. Instead of advising her to switch to grappling technique, Ronda's corner asked her to “keep doing what you’re doing.”
Hype from the fans, media, her camp and the UFC itself made her believe she could stand up with the former boxing world champion and outbox her. This fight was another example of a fighter believing their own hype. It was a remarkable win for us, especially considering how few fans and analysts expected her to pull off the upset.
Holm’s knockout of Rousey might be remembered as the biggest upset in combat sports history. But only time will tell.
Win
Uriah Hall (-115)
Breakdown
Uriah Hall vs Robert Whittaker
Hall is the better diverse striker who I think can out strike Whittaker comfortably on the feet to win a decision. I see Hall being able to use his kicks to throw off the pressure game of Whittaker and he should be able to land the more damaging shots as well on Whittaker.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Uriah Hall | vs. | Robert Whittaker |
| -115 | Odds | +135 |
| 53.5% | Market % | 42.6% |
| 55.00% | Bet on Combat % | 45.00% |
| +1.5% | Inefficiency % | +2.4% |
| Uriah Hall - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -115 |
| Risk: | $1150.00 |
| To Win: | $1000.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Robert Whittaker defeats Uriah Hall via Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28).