UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | June 3, 2017 |
| Venue: | HSBC Arena |
| City: | Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil |
| Broadcast: |
Claudia Gadelha (-290) Luan Chagas (-170) - (-114)
Breakdown
Claudia Gadelha vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Claudia Gadelha (-290) Luan Chagas (-170) - Parlay Bet | |
| Odds: | -114 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $4385.96 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Claudia Gadelha defeats Karolina Kowalkiewicz via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 3:03 of round 1.
Luan Chagas defeats Jim Wallhead via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:48 of round 2.
Win
Max Holloway (+160)
Breakdown
Jose Aldo vs. Max Holloway
I’ve been saying for awhile that Max Holloway will beats Aldo, so I have to bet on the bigger and younger fighter. I see Holloway keeping distance and using his length and picking apart and outstrike Aldo to pick up a unanimous-decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. There's always a second scenarios where I can see Aldo remain disciplined and counter attacks with legs kicks en route to a unanimous decision on the scores card. I think Max is the right side for a wager in this matchup, as I believe he should be slightly favored heading in.
Prediction
| Jose Aldo | vs. | Max Holloway |
| -127 | Odds | +160 |
| 55.9% | Market % | 38.5% |
| 30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
| -25.9% | Inefficiency % | +31.5% |
| Max Holloway - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +160 |
| Risk: | $12500.00 |
| To Win: | $20000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Max Holloway defeats Jose Aldo via TKO (punches) at 4:13 of round 3.
Win
Vitor Belfort (-152)
Breakdown
Vitor Belfort vs. Nate Marquardt
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Vitor Belfort | vs. | Nate Marquardt |
| -152 | Odds | +145 |
| 60.3% | Market % | 40.8% |
| 60.00% | Bet on Combat % | 40.00% |
| -0.3% | Inefficiency % | -0.8% |
| Vitor Belfort - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -152 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $1644.74 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Vitor Belfort defeats Nate Marquardt via Decision (unanimous) (29-28, 29-28, 29-28).
Win
Luan Chagas (-170)
Breakdown
Luan Chagas vs. Jim Wallhead
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Luan Chagas | vs. | Jim Wallhead |
| -170 | Odds | +155 |
| 63.0% | Market % | 39.2% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +12.0% | Inefficiency % | -14.2% |
| Luan Chagas - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -170 |
| Risk: | $20500.00 |
| To Win: | $12058.82 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Luan Chagas defeats Jim Wallhead via Submission (rear-naked choke) 4:48 of round 2.