UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: Dec. 29, 2018
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
City: Paradise, Nevada
Broadcast: Pay-per-view
Straight Bet

Walt Harris (-150)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Walt Harris

Breakdown

Andrei Arlovski vs. Walt Harris

Harris (11-7) is 35 and he’s 4-6 in the UFC. The American has knockout power in both hands and he's won four fights in the UFC by TKO. Arlovski (27-17, 1 NC) is 39 and he’s 16-11 in the UFC. The Belarusian is one of the most accomplished heavyweights in MMA history but he is no longer the fighter he once was. He’s lost seven of his last nine bouts in the UFC, including a ugly decision loss to Shamil Abdurakhimov in his last fight. Harris is younger, faster and more powerful. I see Harris get the knockout in the second rounds.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Andrei Arlovski vs. Walt Harris
+171 Odds -150
36.9% Market % 60.0%
25.00% Bet on Combat % 75.00%
-11.9% Inefficiency % +15.0%
Walt Harris - Straight Bet
Odds:-150
Risk:$15000.00
To Win:$10000.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Walt Harris defeats Andre Arlovski via Decision (split) (27-30, 29-28, 29-28).

Win

Straight Bet

Petr Yan (-255)

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Petr Yan

Breakdown

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Petr Yan

Yan (10-1) is 25 and he’s 2-0 in the UFC. The Russian is one of the top bantamweight prospects in the UFC. De Andrade (25-2, 1 NC) is 33 and he’s 3-2 in the UFC. The Brazilian is one of the more underrated bantamweights in the UFC. Simply put, Petr Yan is the better mixed martial artist of the two. His striking is on another level and his take down defense is very legit for a boxer. There is no doubt he's going to win this fight. I think Yan is going to be too fast and too powerful for de Andrade, and I see him winning by KO.

Stake: 5%

Prediction

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Petr Yan
+198 Odds -255
33.6% Market % 71.8%
30.00% Bet on Combat % 70.00%
-3.6% Inefficiency % -1.8%
Petr Yan - Straight Bet
Odds:-255
Risk:$25000.00
To Win:$9803.92
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Petr Yan defeats Douglas Silva de Andrade via TKO (corner stoppage) at 5:00 of round 2.

Win

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