UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Sept. 7, 2019 |
| Venue: | The Arena, Yas Island |
| City: | Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates |
| Broadcast: | Pay-Per-View |
Khabib Nurmagomedov (-345)
Breakdown
Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Dustin Poirier
Stake: 7.5%
Prediction
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | vs. | Dustin Poirier |
| -345 | Odds | +300 |
| 77.5% | Market % | 25.0% |
| 85.00% | Bet on Combat % | 15.00% |
| +7.5% | Inefficiency % | -10.0% |
| Khabib Nurmagomedov - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -345 |
| Risk: | $70000.00 |
| To Win: | $20289.86 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Khabib Nurmagomedov defeats Dustin Poirier via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:06 of round 3.
Khabib Nurmagomedov continued his dominant reign atop the lightweight division as he controlled this fight with his grappling and eventually forced Dustin Poirier to submit in the third round. Nurmagomedov closed -400 with the return on Poirier +325. Nurmagomedov is the best grappler I've ever seen in MMA. To beat him, any future opponent is going to need a different approach to have a chance to beat him.
Win
Islam Makhachev (-222)
Breakdown
Islam Makhachev vs. Davi Ramos
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Islam Makhachev | vs. | Davi Ramos |
| -222 | Odds | +191 |
| 68.9% | Market % | 34.4% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| +1.1% | Inefficiency % | -4.4% |
| Islam Makhachev - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -222 |
| Risk: | $45000.00 |
| To Win: | $20270.27 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Islam Makhachev defeats Davi Ramos via Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 30–26, 30–26).
Islam Makhachev faced limited competition from Davi Ramos as he won each round of the fight to win by decision. Makhachev closed -400 while Ramos closed +295. I believe Makhachev would be champion in the Lightweight division after Khabib retired.
Win
Muslim Salikhov (+117)
Breakdown
Nordine Taleb vs. Muslim Salikhov
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Nordine Taleb | vs. | Muslim Salikhov |
| -128 | Odds | +117 |
| 56.1% | Market % | 46.1% |
| 30.00% | Bet on Combat % | 70.00% |
| -26.1% | Inefficiency % | +23.9% |
| Muslim Salikhov - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +117 |
| Risk: | $15000.00 |
| To Win: | $17550.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Muslim Salikhov defeats Nordine Taleb via KO (punch) at 4:26 of round 1.
Muslim Salikhov landed a clean right hand that sent Nordine Taleb crumbling to the canvas for a first-round knockout win. Salikhov closed +116 while Taleb closed -135.