UFC 52: Couture vs. Liddell

Sport: MMA
Promotion: UFC
Date: April 16, 2005
Venue: MGM Grand Garden Arena
City: Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: PPV
Straight Bet

Chuck Liddell (+205)

Randy Couture vs. Chuck Liddell

Breakdown

Couture vs. Liddell

Liddell has a big striking advantage and may not be on the level of Couture when it comes to wrestling but his wrestling is good enough to keep this fight standing where he has an edge in striking. Liddell is hard to take down and I don't think Couture will be able to get him down. Liddell wins via KO.

Stake: 3%

Prediction

Randy Couture vs. Chuck Liddell
-265 Odds +205
72.6% Market % 32.8%
46.00% Bet on Combat % 54.00%
-26.6% Inefficiency % +21.2%
Chuck Liddell - Straight Bet
Odds:+205
Risk:$2500.00
To Win:$5125.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Chuck Liddell defeats Randy Couture via KO (punches) at 2:06 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Matt Hughes (-175)

Matt Hughes vs. Frank Trigg

Breakdown

Matt Hughes vs. Frank Trigg

This fight should exactly go how it happened at UFC 45 where Trigg did score a take down on Hughes but Hughes has the better ground game where he was able to take his back and submit him. Hughes is still hungry for the UFC title and he is still a top ranked fighter who I am sure that wants to still be in the UFC.

Stake: 4%

Prediction

Matt Hughes vs. Frank Trigg
-175 Odds +145
63.6% Market % 40.8%
68.00% Bet on Combat % 32.00%
+4.4% Inefficiency % -8.8%
Matt Hughes - Straight Bet
Odds:-175
Risk:$4375.00
To Win:$2500.00
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Matt Hughes defeats Frank Trigg via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 4:05 of round 1.

Win

Straight Bet

Georges St-Pierre (-145)

Georges St. Pierre vs. Jason Miller

Breakdown

Georges St-Pierre vs. Jason Miller

Georges is the better athlete here and has faced stiff competition to this point and is just a better all around fighter. Miller seems like a very volatile individual too, easily riled and taken off focus. Georges wins here via submission.

Stake: 4%

Prediction

Georges St. Pierre vs. Jason Miller
-145 Odds +115
59.2% Market % 46.5%
60.00% Bet on Combat % 40.00%
+0.8% Inefficiency % -6.5%
Georges St-Pierre - Straight Bet
Odds:-145
Risk:$4400.00
To Win:$3034.48
Outcome:Win

Outcome:

Georges St-Pierre defeats Jason Miller via 3 round Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).

Win

Straight Bet

Patrick Cote (+170)

Joe Doerksen vs. Patrick Cote

Breakdown

Joe Doerkson vs. Patrick Cote

Cote has the power and striking advantage and is a big guy for 205 who shouldn't be able to taken down too easy because Doerkson is the more experienced fighter and has the ground advantage but Cote should keep the fight standing and KO his way to a victory.

Stake: 2%

 

Prediction

Joe Doerksen vs. Patrick Cote
-200 Odds +170
66.7% Market % 37.0%
42.00% Bet on Combat % 58.00%
-24.7% Inefficiency % +21.0%
Patrick Cote - Straight Bet
Odds:+170
Risk:$1500.00
To Win:$2550.00
Outcome:Loss

Outcome:

Joe Doerksen defeats Patrick Cote via Submission (rear-naked choke) at 2:35 of round 3.

 

Loss

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