UFC 58: USA vs. Canada
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | March 4, 2006 |
| Venue: | Mandalay Bay Events Center |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Broadcast: | PPV |
David Loiseau (+220)
Breakdown
David Loiseau vs. Rich Franklin
Loiseau has lethal striking and can definitely finish Franklin on the feet here. Franklin has the advantage on the ground but I see him wanting to strike with Loiseau and hopefully Loiseau lands one of those lethal elbows to TKO Franklin.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| David Loiseau | vs. | Rich Franklin |
| -300 | Odds | +220 |
| 75.0% | Market % | 31.3% |
| 62.00% | Bet on Combat % | 38.00% |
| -13.0% | Inefficiency % | +6.7% |
| David Loiseau - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +220 |
| Risk: | $2500.00 |
| To Win: | $5500.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Rich Franklin defeats David Loiseau via Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–43, 50–42).
Loss
Georges St-Pierre (+110)
Breakdown
Georges St-Pierre vs. BJ Penn
St-Pierre is the better athlete and has better striking, his wrestling and size should keep Penn from getting him to the ground. Pierre should light up Penn on the feet through out the match and take Penn out of his game. St-Pierre wins via unanimous decision.
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| BJ Penn | vs. | Georges St. Pierre |
| -140 | Odds | +110 |
| 58.3% | Market % | 47.6% |
| 55.00% | Bet on Combat % | 45.00% |
| -3.3% | Inefficiency % | -2.6% |
| Georges St-Pierre - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | +110 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $5500.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Georges St-Pierre defeats B.J. Penn via Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28).
Win
Tom Murphy (-165)
Breakdown
Tom Murphy vs. Icho Larenas
Both these guys have power. Murphy is just better on the feet and should find a hole in Larenas defense to land a big shot to win by KO.
Stake: 7%
Prediction
| Tom Murphy | vs. | Icho Larenas |
| -165 | Odds | +145 |
| 62.3% | Market % | 40.8% |
| 64.00% | Bet on Combat % | 36.00% |
| +1.7% | Inefficiency % | -4.8% |
| Tom Murphy - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -165 |
| Risk: | $8250.00 |
| To Win: | $5000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Tom Murphy defeats Icho Larenas via TKO (punches) at 1:59 of round 3.