UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | March 4, 2017 |
| Venue: | T-Mobile Arena |
| City: | Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Broadcast: |
Josh Thompson (-110)
Breakdown
Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson
Here we go again with the highly-anticipated rematch for the welterweight title between Tyron Woodley vs. Josh Thompson. For some of you who were members of our consulting service, you may remember that we had a big bet on Josh Thompson back to their first first in 2016. Woodley sure had more success than I thought he would in the striking exchanges. But on Saturday night, I believe that Thompson will display more his Karate style, and even try to grapple more in the rematch. Once again, I see a lot of value in Thompson to make small adjustments and at his current offering price of -110, I have to take a shot.
Stake: 3%
Prediction
| Tyron Woodley | vs. | Josh Thompson |
| -110 | Odds | -110 |
| 52.4% | Market % | 52.4% |
| 40.00% | Bet on Combat % | 60.00% |
| -12.4% | Inefficiency % | +7.6% |
| Josh Thompson - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -110 |
| Risk: | $3000.00 |
| To Win: | $2727.27 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
Tyron Woodley defeats Josh Thompson via Decision (majority) (48-47, 47-47, 48-47).
I had Thompson winning the fight going to 5th round, but judges decided a different outcome. Even Woodley bettors thought he lost the fight. 48-47 Woodley is a very bad decision. He didn't win 3 rounds. Is there anybody who can tell me which 3 rounds did Tyron win?
Loss
Khabib Nurmagomedov (-160)
Breakdown
Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | vs. | Tony Ferguson |
| -160 | Odds | +145 |
| 61.5% | Market % | 40.8% |
| 70.00% | Bet on Combat % | 30.00% |
| +8.5% | Inefficiency % | -10.8% |
| Khabib Nurmagomedov - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -160 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $3125.00 |
| Outcome: | Push |
Outcome:
This fight has been canceled.
Push
Lando Vannata (-250)
Breakdown
Lando Vannata vs. David Teymur
Stake: 5%
Prediction
| Lando Vannata | vs. | David Teymur |
| -250 | Odds | +180 |
| 71.4% | Market % | 35.7% |
| 75.00% | Bet on Combat % | 25.00% |
| +3.6% | Inefficiency % | -10.7% |
| Lando Vannata - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -250 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $2500.00 |
| Outcome: | Loss |
Outcome:
David Teymur defeats Lando Vannata via Decision (unanimous) (30-27, 30-27, 30-27).