UFC on Fox: Shogun vs. Vera
| Sport: | MMA |
| Promotion: | UFC |
| Date: | Aug. 4, 2012 |
| Venue: | Staples Center |
| City: | Los Angeles, California |
| Broadcast: | Fox Sport |
Fight doesn't go to decision (++125)
Breakdown
Lyoto Machida vs. Ryan Bader
Machida's unorthodox striking and karate skills are difficult to defend standing up. The longer the fight stays standing up the more it favors Machida. I don't think Bader will be able to get Machida down and once he realizes he can't get Machida down he will go for big punches leaving him self open to counters in which Machida will not miss and land shots to win by TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Fight doesn't go to decision - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | ++125 |
| Risk: | $5000.00 |
| To Win: | $6250.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Lyoto Machida defeats Ryan Bader via KO (punch) at 1:32 of round 1.
Win
Lyoto Machida (-290)
Breakdown
Lyoto Machida vs. Ryan Bader
Machida's unorthodox striking and karate skills are difficult to defend standing up. The longer the fight stays standing up the more it favors Machida. I don't think Bader will be able to get Machida down and once he realizes he can't get Machida down he will go for big punches leaving him self open to counters in which Machida will not miss and land shots to win by TKO.
Stake: 10%
Prediction
| Lyoto Machida | vs. | Ryan Bader |
| -290 | Odds | +230 |
| 74.4% | Market % | 30.3% |
| 80.00% | Bet on Combat % | 20.00% |
| +5.6% | Inefficiency % | -10.3% |
| Lyoto Machida - Straight Bet | |
| Odds: | -290 |
| Risk: | $14500.00 |
| To Win: | $5000.00 |
| Outcome: | Win |
Outcome:
Lyoto Machida defeats Ryan Bader via KO (punch) at 1:32 of round 1.